๐พ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐
๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐:
๐. โ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ตโ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฒ๐
๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐
Most green-economy growth to date is driven by ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป (renewables, electrification, EV supply chains, grids).
These sectors can grow quickly ๐๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ถ๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ถ๐ป๐ด total global material throughputโespecially because the build-out phase is infrastructure-heavy (steel, cement, copper, critical minerals). This results in ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐๐, but also ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐, which pushes the circularity share down unless secondary supply rises even faster.
๐. ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฒ๐
๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ธ-๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด
The circularity metric is a ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ (secondary inputs / total inputs). If total inputs rise strongly, circularity can fall ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐ถ๐ณ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ๐น๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒโexactly what the 2025 update highlights (โdespite growing recyclingโ).
๐. ๐ช๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด, ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐
Energy-system evidence increasingly supports ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฒ๐บ๐ถ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต at the global level in some years (and absolute decoupling in some economies), but this ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ฝ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด. The IEA reports that emissions growth was lower than global GDP growth in its Global Energy Review 2025 analysis, signalling decoupling dynamics on the carbon side. Circularity statistics, meanwhile, show materials are not yet being reduced or recirculated at the required scale.
๐ป๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐, if the green economy is to translate into system-wide sustainability, the growth engine must be paired with ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ผ๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐: life extension, reuse models, secondary materials markets, and product rules that shift demand away from virgin inputsโ๐ผ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ป-๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ด๐-๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ.
RELATED UPDATE
